_-_copia.jpg?w=1300&resize=1300,540&ssl=1 "Salvador Nasralla")
Several public opinion surveys rank Salvador Nasralla as the leading candidate in voting preferences for the 2025 general elections, within a context characterized by conflicts among the primary political parties of the nation.
Five months ahead of the general elections in Honduras, the latest survey results reveal a competitive landscape. Salvador Nasralla, the Liberal Party’s present candidate, is at the forefront in two significant May studies. This information indicates a period of crucial political choices, where potential opposition coalitions and the solidification of candidacies might play a crucial role in shaping the electoral proceedings.
Polls place Nasralla in first place
A research project carried out by the US company Expedition Strategies in May 2025 shows Salvador Nasralla at 25.2% of the votes, followed by Nasry Asfura from the National Party with 21.4%, and Rixi Moncada from the ruling LIBRE party at 16%. Furthermore, the survey notes that Nasralla is the most popular choice to lead a potential opposition coalition, having 37% backing in that context.
A second survey, carried out by the Paradigma polling company from May 4 to 17, shows comparable outcomes. In this survey, Nasralla achieves 25.6%, followed once more by Asfura with 21.2% and Moncada with 11.3%. The alignment of the two surveys strengthens the view that Nasralla’s leadership is steady at this stage of the election timeline.
Discrepancies between studies and controversy over use of data
Despite the convergence between these two studies, there is no full consensus among the published measurements. A poll by TResearch International, released in March 2025, shows a different configuration: Rixi Moncada was then leading with 44.9%, followed by Nasralla with 27.5% and Asfura with 23.4%. The divergence in the results is attributed to the timing of the study, as well as the methodology used, although no further details have been disclosed.
Amid these differences, a dispute emerged due to the spread of a supposed survey linked to TResearch, which indicated Nasralla as leading. The firm openly disclaimed the validity of the document, stating it was not part of any analysis carried out by them and refuted the unapproved use of their brand and emblem. This incident has sparked the ongoing discussion about the distortion of surveys and their effect on public sentiment, particularly in a scenario marked by intense political division.
Open scenario and expectations for party definitions
Elections are planned for November 2025, and the political scene in Honduras is evolving with active rivalry among three primary groups: the governing party LIBRE, the National Party, and the Liberal Party. Nasralla, having run for president in earlier elections and now part of a division of the Liberal Party, is reemerging as a key figure in the pre-election landscape.
The possibility of an opposition alliance remains under discussion, particularly among sectors seeking to unite against the ruling party’s continuity. The support Nasralla is receiving as the potential leader of a coalition suggests that his role could go beyond his individual candidacy, depending on the party decisions made in the coming months.
An election period characterized by uncertain institutions
The dissemination of contradictory polls and the misuse of statistical data reflect the challenges facing the Honduran electoral process in terms of transparency and credibility. Added to this are tensions between the main political actors and public expectations regarding a contest that, for the moment, appears to have no clear majority.
The development of the candidates, the creation of partnerships, and the stance of established entities towards novel coalitions will shape the political atmosphere in the latter part of the year. Within this framework, the involvement of electoral bodies and the public in monitoring and ensuring a lawful process will be vital to maintaining democratic stability in the country.