Over eighteen months after the imposition of the state of emergency declared by the administration of Xiomara Castro, the rates of violence and crime in Honduras have not experienced a continuous reduction, heightening the discussion regarding the success of this policy in the area of national security.
Since it was sanctioned in December 2022, the state of emergency was suggested as an urgent measure against the territorial influence of criminal groups in both city and countryside regions. Despite its continuous implementation for over 18 months and numerous renewals, it has not succeeded in curbing issues like extortion, murders, and other types of violence that severely impact crucial economic sectors and everyday activities.
Persistence of crime and public perceptions
Several assessments from social organizations and law enforcement data concur that criminal entities remain active with significant intimidating abilities, particularly in crucial routes in the northern and central regions of the country. Business owners, transport operators, and locals persist in reporting unlawful charges, intimidations, and killings in regions where the government sustains a military and police presence due to the state of emergency.
Community leaders, such as one consulted in Tegucigalpa, have stated that “the population remains terrified” and that no substantial improvements in security are perceived. These voices warn that crime continues to control entire neighborhoods, while the authorities present figures that do not reflect the reality on the streets, which has fueled public mistrust.
Questions about the government’s approach
The emergency situation was designed as an exceptional action to combat organized crime, granting specific powers for the intervention by law enforcement. Nonetheless, its enforcement has faced criticism due to its extended duration and the lack of a holistic plan.
Documents from the National Human Rights Commissioner (CONADEH) and global entities have highlighted a rise in accounts of unjust arrests and breaches of basic rights.
In addition, security specialists caution that relying solely on militarization without effective operational intelligence has not led to enduring outcomes or diminished criminal organizations.
“The state’s response has been more coercive than strategic,” said a security analyst, who believes that a model of intervention based on prevention, justice, and institutional coordination has not been achieved.
Demands for a complete safety strategy
Due to the ongoing state of emergency and the continued issue of extortion, a significant crime affecting the informal economy, public transit, and community stability, various sectors have urged for a technical assessment of the existing security measures.
Incidents of extortion are increasing, and while there are occasional detentions of supposed leaders, these efforts have not produced a lasting deterrent impact. Based on accounts collected by local news outlets, several victims decide to stay quiet or escape because of the absence of assured protection.
The corporate community has voiced apprehension over the absence of tangible outcomes and has urged for a rework of the security strategy, involving legal experts, community groups, and international collaboration. “Honduras does not require additional media spectacles. It requires genuine achievements,” stated a representative for the business community, calling for openness and responsibility in the application of special measures.
Obstacles faced by institutions amidst ongoing violence
Extending the state of emergency without a transparent evaluation of its success reveals conflicts between the pressing need to manage violence and the obligation to uphold democratic principles and essential rights. In a nation characterized by weak institutions and significant distrust in leadership, the emphasis on security continues to be a contentious issue among the government, societal groups, and the citizenry.
The primary task for Xiomara Castro’s government is to identify a lasting approach that merges crime management with holistic, credible public policies and extensive engagement. In the meantime, ongoing violence and the sense of danger leave the community, which continues to seek impactful and enduring solutions, in suspense.